Portfolio risks and opportunities from the carbon intensities of the 40 largest listed companies in South Africa
12 January 2012
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Key findings:
The companies directly emitted almost 109 million tonnes of GHG emissions, measured in carbon dioxide equivalents (Mt CO2e) globally, which equates to 20% of South Africa's carbon emissions in 2010.
If the companies were to pay the planned carbon tax rate of R75 (US$8.97) per tonne of CO2e for direct operational emissions globally, carbon costs could amount to almost US$974 million, or 1% of earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation or amortization (EBITDA) on average across all 40 companies.
Earnings could be most exposed to carbon costs in the Oil & Gas, Basic Resources, Retail, Industrial Goods & Services and Food & Beverage sectors. Some companies are more exposed to indirect carbon costs passed on by suppliers than to direct costs from operational emissions.
Eight of the funds analysed invested in stocks that were more carbon-intensive on average than Index sector peers.
Portfolio exposure to carbon costs varies, with the carbon footprints of equity funds ranging from 387 tonnes of carbon per US$m revenue for the Nedgroup Investments Rainmaker Fund to 1,151 tonnes of carbon/US$m for the Allan Gray - Stable Fund.
Carbon risk could be reduced by re-weighting JSE-listed companies based on carbon efficiency within sectors.
The study highlights 10 question that pension funds and unit trust owners; asset managers and investment analysts; and companies can ask to address carbon and other sustainability-related risks and opportunities.
Extract
Dirty Feet: Portfolio Carbon offers new, robust analysis of the challenge faced by major South African companies, (and the listed equity funds that own them), of growing in a low-carbon, climate-resilient future for Africa's largest economy. This new evidence-based research using a global best practice methodology analyzing FTSE/JSE 40 Index companies and top 10 funds demonstrates that there are strong financial incentives for investors, including pension funds and asset managers, in large capitalization companies to ensure that carbon risk is actively considered as a material factor.
Report image: Variations in exposure to carbon costs at the higher carbon tax rate of US$23.91 (R200) per tonne